23 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JH
🇨🇿Jiri Hyrsl
ELO 1280
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cernik
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1285
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Cernik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~72 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.