23 Aug · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1257
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cernik
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1285
FormLLLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Cernik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 32% · 3.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H58-120
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.