23 Aug · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Stach
ELO 1448
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jasek
MJ
🇨🇿Milan Jasek
ELO 1492
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stach🌟Jasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (54)
Fair odds · Jasek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.