23 Aug · 00:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VP
🇨🇿Vladimir Postelt
ELO 1574
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Postelt
PF
🇨🇿Pavel Fojt
ELO 1444
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Postelt
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+130
H2H24-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-14)