29 Aug · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1530
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tuma
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vinter
ELO 1463
FormLLLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+67
H2H19-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.