29 Aug · 16:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇨🇿Richard Skacelik
ELO 1558
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Langer
DL
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1679
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
🌟Skacelik covers set handicap as underdog 69% (104)
Fair odds · Langer
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+121
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)