29 Aug · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hrabec
ELO 1562
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hrabec
PH
🇨🇿Patrik Hanel
ELO 1495
FormWWLLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hanel
Fair odds · Hrabec
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+67
H2H2-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.