29 Aug · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1257
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vaclavik
MV
🇨🇿Miroslav Vaclavik
ELO 1410
FormWWWLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Vaclavik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+153
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)