29 Aug · 17:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MJ
🇨🇿Martin Jaksa
ELO 1450
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Blejchar
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1544
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Blejchar
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+94
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)