29 Aug · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1593
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ruzicka
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1558
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H38-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.