29 Aug · 20:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1368
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Syroha
MR
🇨🇿Milan Regner
ELO 1350
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Syroha rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (93)
Fair odds · Syroha
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.