29 Aug · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PB
🇨🇿Petr Budinsky
ELO 1537
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Budinsky
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vinter
ELO 1463
FormLLLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Budinsky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+74
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.