29 Aug · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇨🇿Miloslav Lubas
ELO 1338
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vaclavik
MV
🇨🇿Miroslav Vaclavik
ELO 1410
FormWWWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Vaclavik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+72
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.