29 Aug · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ER
🇨🇿Evzen Rychlik
ELO 1559
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rychlik
DM
🇨🇿Dalimil Machander
ELO 1540
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Machander covers set handicap as underdog 66% (92)
Fair odds · Rychlik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H14-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.