29 Aug · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kraninger
ELO 1448
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zurek
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1477
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kraninger🌟Kraninger covers set handicap as underdog 69% (39)
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.