29 Aug · 18:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1257
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Stach
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Stach
ELO 1428
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
🌟Stach stays under total as favourite 63% (19)
Fair odds · Stach
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 39% · 2.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+171
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)