29 Aug · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1544
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Blejchar
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Varecha
ELO 1508
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Blejchar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.