29 Aug · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AB
🇨🇿Adam Brazda
ELO 1569
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Brazda
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1504
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vejvoda🌟Brazda rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (40)
Fair odds · Brazda
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+65
H2H5-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.