31 Aug · 04:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AH
🇨🇿Alexander Hejduk
ELO 1318
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hejduk
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1246
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Hejduk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (38)
Fair odds · Hejduk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+72
H2H38-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.