31 Aug · 02:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1638
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Klement
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1520
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Klement
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+118
H2H33-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-17)