31 Aug · 01:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1538
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vejvoda
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1520
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sobisek🌟Vejvoda rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (187)
Fair odds · Vejvoda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H13-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.