31 Aug · 02:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jan Potensky
ELO 1328
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Potensky
AH
🇨🇿Alexander Hejduk
ELO 1318
FormWWWWW
51%
49%
🌟Potensky stays under total as favourite 72% (67)
Fair odds · Potensky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 60% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H36-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.