30 Aug · 21:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Janata
ELO 1558
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vizek
MV
🇨🇿Martin Vizek
ELO 1561
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
🌟Vizek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (52)
Fair odds · Vizek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 43% · 2.35· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H18-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.