30 Aug · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Michal Koral
ELO 1512
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Koral
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Velicka
ELO 1510
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Velicka🌟Koral rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (30)
Fair odds · Koral
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.