30 Aug · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇨🇿Richard Skacelik
ELO 1576
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zidek
VZ
🇨🇿Vaclav Zidek
ELO 1629
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
🌟Skacelik covers set handicap as underdog 69% (106)
Fair odds · Zidek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.