30 Aug · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MW
🇨🇿Mark Robin Wagner
ELO 1568
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kolar
VK
🇨🇿Vlastimil Kolar
ELO 1604
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Wagner🌟Kolar stays under total as favourite 63% (54)
Fair odds · Kolar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.