31 Aug · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vavrecka
ELO 1577
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Cabis
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1666
FormLWLLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vavrecka🌟Vavrecka covers set handicap as underdog 64% (261)
Fair odds · Cabis
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+89
H2H14-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)