31 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇨🇿Tibor Kolenic
ELO 1540
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vedmoch
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1565
FormLLWWW
49%
51%
🌟Vedmoch rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (189)
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H10-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.