1 Sept · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1475
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vedmoch
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1567
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Parhomenko🌟Vedmoch rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (196)
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.87· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+92
H2H56-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)