1 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Stach
ELO 1448
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zurek
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1473
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stach
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 43% · 2.35· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H1-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.