1 Sept · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LM
🇨🇿Lukas Martinec
ELO 1369
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Martinec
JF
🇨🇿Jiri Foltynek
ELO 1350
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Martinec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H0-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.