31 Aug · 13:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JT
🇨🇿Jan Trefny
ELO 1500
3-0Final setsTrefny won
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1533
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Tuma at 52%. The actual result was Jan Trefny 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Daniel Tuma favoured — closing 1.48
Total 75.5
56 points played
Set handicap
Daniel Tuma −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Daniel Tuma −4.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 2.8
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Trefny is favoured to win, below means Daniel Tuma.
▲ Jan Trefnypre 51% → final 98%
Daniel Tuma ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts67 points · 4 games