1 Sept · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LM
🇨🇿Lukas Martinec
ELO 1369
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Martinec
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Motak
ELO 1282
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Motak stays under total as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Martinec
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+87
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)