31 Aug · 19:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1647
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Revay
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1625
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 68% (455)
Fair odds · Revay
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H59-62
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.