31 Aug · 22:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1495
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fejtek
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fejtek
ELO 1510
FormLLWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Fejtek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.