1 Sept · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FN
🇨🇿Frantisek Nadymacek
ELO 1595
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kern
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kern
ELO 1602
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Kern stays under total as favourite 63% (68)
Fair odds · Kern
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.