1 Sept · 16:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FW
🇨🇿Filip Wolf
ELO 1680
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jindrak
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jindrak
ELO 1776
FormWWLLW
45%
55%
🌟Wolf stays under total as underdog 63% (54)
Fair odds · Jindrak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+96
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)