1 Sept · 21:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dedek
ELO 1504
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Dedek
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vinter
ELO 1481
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Dedek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.