2 Sept · 04:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FW
🇨🇿Filip Wolf
ELO 1662
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Wolf
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1631
FormWWWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Huk
Fair odds · Wolf
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.