3 Sept · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1660
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Szotkowski
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1695
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 68% (466)
Fair odds · Szotkowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H109-93
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.