3 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1284
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vrabec
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1354
FormWWLLL
46%
54%
🌟1961 stays under total as underdog 63% (79)
Fair odds · Vrabec
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+70
H2H11-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.