3 Sept · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Marek Volny
ELO 1576
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Volny
MH
🇨🇿Marcel Heczko
ELO 1536
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🌟Heczko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (97)
Fair odds · Volny
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H7-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.