3 Sept · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1469
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zurek
VC
🇨🇿Vojtech Cerny
ELO 1431
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
🌟Cerny stays under total as underdog 66% (32)
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 25% · 3.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.