3 Sept · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1739
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mares
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1635
FormWLWWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Huk🌟Mares rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (229)
Fair odds · Mares
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+104
H2H17-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)