2 Sept · 23:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Velicka
ELO 1536
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Velicka
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Milota
ELO 1503
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Milota🌟Velicka goes over total as favourite 79% (29)
Fair odds · Velicka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.