02 Sep · 21:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JM
🇨🇿Josef Medek
ELO 1805
1-3Final setsMares won
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1747
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Medek at 54%. The actual result was Erik Mares 1-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Josef Medek favoured — closing 1.55
Total 75.5
65 points played
Set handicap
Josef Medek −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Josef Medek −5.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Josef Medek is favoured to win, below means Erik Mares.
▲ Josef Medekpre 58% → final 78%
Erik Mares ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsMedek recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games