4 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PW
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1634
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zika
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1651
FormWLLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Wawrosz🌟Zika rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (169)
Fair odds · Zika
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H26-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.