4 Sept · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1663
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Polasek
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1674
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Paril🌟Polasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (249)
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H35-38
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.