4 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MR
🇨🇿Michal Regner
ELO 1571
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hofman
DH
🇨🇿Denis Hofman
ELO 1585
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Hofman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (109)
Fair odds · Hofman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H29-52
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.