4 Sept · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZD
🇨🇿Zbynek Drabek
ELO 1417
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chalupnicek
MC
🇨🇿Milan Chalupnicek
ELO 1429
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
🌟Chalupnicek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (61)
Fair odds · Chalupnicek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.